Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 14

2005 production and export outlook
Total U.S. meat production in 2005 is projected to increase slightly
from 2004. Lower red meat output will be more than offset by higher
poultry meat production, according to the U.S. Dept. of Agriculture's
World Agriculture Outlook Board, Washington, D.C. Beef production
will continue to fall as cattle inventories decline and producers retain
heifers for breeding. Pork production is projected slightly lower, as
producers indicate they are cautious about expanding. Broiler and
turkey production are expected to rise as strong prices in 2004 and
good demand fuel expansion in 2005.
Meat exports in 2005 are forecast higher, primarily due to increased broiler and pork shipments. Beef exports are still limited by
import bans imposed by major trading partners due to bovine spongiform encephalopathy. Meat imports are forecast slightly lower in
2005 because of reduced pork imports.

pork products relatively cheaper, compared with products valued in
Canadian dollars and Danish krone. Also, with respect to the Japanese market, the anticipated lifting of the Safeguard - a mechanism
that increases the minimum price of imported pork products - on April
1 was another factor that increased U.S. pork exports to Japan. Mexico
imported 126 million pounds of U.S. pork in the first quarter of 2004,
an increase of 88 percent over the first quarter this past year. Although
Mexico has begun the process of re-opening markets to some U.S.
beef, much of the first quarter increase in U.S. pork exports to Mexico
is likely attributable to Mexican buyers substituting pork for beef.
Although Canada is a major pork producer and exporter, its imports of U.S. pork products were 31 percent greater than a year ago.
The exchange rate is likely a major factor. The stronger Canadian
dollar and an international border that is relatively open to trade al-

Meat exports in 2005 are forecast higher, primarily due to increased broiler
and pork shipments. Beef exports are still limited by import bans imposed
by major trading partners due to bovine spongiform encephalopathy.
U.S. beef exports for 2004 are forecast to be 465 million pounds -
only 18 percent of this past year's level. Assuming current restrictions
by importers, 2005 exports of 600 million pounds are expected.
Live cattle exports may be insignificant this year and in 2005, assuming restrictions by Mexico remain in place. Although live cattle
may be exported to Canada, the same growing surplus of animals in
Canada is expected to limit U.S. beef exports and likely to discourage
exports of U.S. animals to Canada.
The U.S. pork industry exported 523 million pounds of product in
the first quarter of 2004, almost 19 percent higher than in the same
period this past year. As usual, Japan, Mexico and Canada accounted for approximately 78 percent of first-quarter shipments. Two factors explain the surge in U.S. pork exports: closure of important foreign markets to U.S. and Canadian beef products, and the value of
the U.S. dollar, which has depreciated significantly in terms of important foreign currencies.
Pork exports to Japan and Taiwan increased 7 percent and 153
percent during the first quarter of 2003. Closure of these markets to
U.S. and Canadian beef products explains part of the increase.
The depreciated value of the U.S. dollar makes dollar-denominated

low an integrated North American pork industry to source favorably
priced pork products in the U.S. for sale to Canadian consumers.
Current expectations are for the export momentum that started off
the year to continue through 2005. U.S. pork exports are expected to
exceed 1.9 billion pounds this year - an increase of more than 13 percent over 2003 - and should break the 2-billion-pound mark in 2005.
The broiler export forecast for 2004 has been reduced to 4.6 billion pounds, a reduction of 355 million pounds. The reduction is the
result of continued restrictions on U.S. exports to a number of countries and the export dampening effect of much stronger prices for almost all broiler products.
Broiler exports during the first quarter of 2004 were 1.02 billion
pounds, nearly a 15-percent decline from the previous year. Most of
the decrease was due to reduced shipments to Russia, China and
Japan resulting from bans on shipments because of earlier avian influenza outbreaks.
The decline in exports to these countries was partially offset by
higher shipments to countries such as Mexico, Canada and Turkey.
Exports in 2005 are expected to strengthen, reaching 4.9 billion
pounds, close to the level exported in 2003.

U.S. and Australia finalize F.T.A.
U.S. Trade Representative Robert Zoellick and Australian Minister
of Trade Mark Vaile signed a landmark Free Trade Agreement in midMay that will eliminate more than 99 percent of tariffs on manufactured goods traded between the two countries.
The U.S.-Australia F.T.A. is the first trade agreement between
the U.S. and a developed country since the U.S.-Canada Free
Trade Agreement in 1988. It is an agreement that reflects the modern, global economy, opening markets and streamlining mutual access in intellectual property, services, government procurement,

14

MEAT&POULTRY

e-commerce and investment.
Australia is a large and growing trade and investment partner
of the U.S., and in 2003 was America's 14th-largest export market
for goods. Two-way goods and services trade is nearly $29 billion,
a 53-percent increase since 1994. Two-way foreign direct investment is about $61 billion. Australia purchases more goods from
the U.S. than they do from any other country. The United States
enjoys a bilateral goods and services trade surplus of $9 billion
thanks to Australia.

www.MEATPOULTRY.com

JUNE 2004


http://www.MEATPOULTRY.com

Meat + Poultry - June 2004

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Meat + Poultry - June 2004

Contents
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 1
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 2
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 3
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - Contents
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 5
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 6
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 7
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 8
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 9
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 10
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 11
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 12
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 13
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 14
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 15
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 16
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 17
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 18
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 19
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 20
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 21
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 22
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 23
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 24
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 25
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 26
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 27
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 28
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 29
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 30
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 31
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 32
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 33
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 34
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 35
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 36
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 37
Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 38
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Meat + Poultry - June 2004 - 78
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-march-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/special-supplement-bacon-trends-technology-march-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-february-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-january-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-december-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-november-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-october-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-september-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-august-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/special-supplement-ground-meat-trends-technology-july-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-july-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-june-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-may-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-april-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/special-supplement-bacon-trends-technology-march-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-march-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-february-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-january-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-december-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-november-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-october-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/special-supplement-ground-beef-trends-technology-september-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-september-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-august-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-july-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-june-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/special-supplement-meat-alternative-trends-and-technology-may-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-may-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-april-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/special-supplement-bacon-trends-technology-march-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-march-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-february-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-january-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/-meatpoultry-december-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-november-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-october-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/special-supplement-ground-meat-trends-technology-october-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-september-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-august-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-july-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-june-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-may-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/special-supplement-meat-alternatives-may-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-april-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-march-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2021_02_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2021_01_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2020_12_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2020_11_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2020_10_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2020_09_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2020_08_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2020_07_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2020_06_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2020_05_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2020_04_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2020_03_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2020_02_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2020_01_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2019_12_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2019_11_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2019_10_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2019_09_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2019_08_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2019_07_11
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2019_06_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2019_05_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2019_04_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2019_03_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2019_02_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2019_01_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2018_12_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2018_11_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2018_10_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2018_09_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2018_08_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2018_07_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2018_06_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2018_05_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2018_04_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2018_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2018_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2018_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2017_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2017_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2017_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2017_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2017_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2017_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2017_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2017_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2017_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2017_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2017_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2017_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2016_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2016_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2016_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2016_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2016_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2016_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2016_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2016_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2016_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2016_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2016_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2016_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2015_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2015_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2015_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2015_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2015_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2015_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2015_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2015_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2015_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2015_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2015_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2015_01_01_mp
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2014_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2014_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2014_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2014_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2014_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2014_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2014_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2014_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2014_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2014_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2014_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2014_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2013_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2013_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2013_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2013_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2013_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2013_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2013_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2013_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2013_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2013_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2013_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2013_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2012_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2012_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2012_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2012_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2012_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2012_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2012_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2012_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2012_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2012_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2012_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2012_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2011_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2011_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2011_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2011_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2011_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2011_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2011_06_01
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https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2011_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2011_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2011_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2011_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2010_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2010_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2010_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2010_09_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2010_08_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2010_07_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2010_06_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2010_05_01
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http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2010_02_01
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http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2009_12_01
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http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2009_10_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2009_09_01
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http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2009_04_01
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http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2009_02_01
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http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2008_12_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2008_11_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2008_10_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2008_09_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2008_08_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2008_07_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2008_06_01
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http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2008_04_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2008_03_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2008_02_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2008_01_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2007_12_01
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http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2007_03_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2007_02_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2007_01_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2006_12_01
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http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2006_10_01
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http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2006_01_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2005_12_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2005_11_01
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