World Grain - November 2019 - 27

predicting that U.S. meal would continue to dominate the
market, with reduced competition from Argentina and Brazil.
"Philippine soybean production is negligible, and the small
amount of imports is purchased largely by a lone crusher," the
attaché said.
"Soybean imports will increase 25,000 tonnes, to 265,000
tonnes in 2019-20, with over 80% expected to come from the
United States," the attaché said. "Expanding imports will be
driven by increasing preference for full-fat soybean for feed
use, based on prices. Less competition from Brazilian beans is
expected as some farmers have reportedly resorted to hoarding due to lower port premiums, weak prices, and the relatively stronger Brazilian currency."
/RFDOVR\EHDQRLOSURGXFWLRQDQGWUDGHDUHLQVLJQL¿FDQWGXH
to the local preference for coconut oil (CNO) or palm oil (depending on price), the attaché said.
Coconut oil is the Philippines' biggest agricultural export.
The attaché forecasts a fall in 2019-20 production to 1.66
million tonnes, from 1.71 million the year before, "as coconut
trees experience a downward cyclical period."
BIOFUELS PRODUCTION

In a November 2018 report on biofuels in the Philippines,
the attaché said that ethanol production using sugarcane and

molasses in 2018 is expected to increase to 270 million liters
from 235 million liters the previous year as aggregate capacity increases.
"Blending peaked at 10% in 2014 but declined to just over
9% in recent years and will further drop in 2018 due to new
taxes on petroleum fuels and motor vehicle sales," the report said.
Coconut oil is the preferred feedstock for biodiesel.
"Consumption growth is driven by increased diesel use
since 2009 with the blend rate peaking at 2.8% in 2016 due to
increased motor vehicle sales," the attaché said. "The planned
5% blend in 2015 has not happened due to high coconut oil
prices relative to petroleum fuel.
"The Philippine Department of Energy, in its latest energy
plan has recommended maintaining the current ethanol and
biodiesel blends (10% and 2%, respectively) through 2019,
and revisit blend targets through 2040 due to feedstock concerns and pricing."
Chris Lyddon is World Grain's European correspondent.
He may be contacted at: chris.lyddon@ntlworld.com.
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World Grain - November 2019

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of World Grain - November 2019

World Grain - November 2019 - 1
World Grain - November 2019 - 1
World Grain - November 2019 - 2
World Grain - November 2019 - 3
World Grain - November 2019 - 4
World Grain - November 2019 - 5
World Grain - November 2019 - 6
World Grain - November 2019 - 7
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