World Grain - November 2019 - 62

FEATURE

GLOBAL
FLOUR
TRADE
REVISED
DOWNWARD
IGC cuts its projection for 2019-20 by 500,000 tonnes

D

ue to smaller-than-anticipated import needs in
Near East Asia because of better-than-expected
local harvests, the International Grains Council
,*&LVIRUHFDVWLQJDUHGXFWLRQLQJOREDOZKHDWÀRXU
trade in 2019-20 of 500,000 tonnes from its June
estimate.
In its most recent Grain Market Report, released on
6HSWWKH,*&UHYLVHGÀRXUWUDGHGRZQZDUGWR
million tonnes (wheat equivalent), still 200,000 tonnes
higher than last year's total but far below the record
total of 17.699 million tonnes in 2016-17.
7KH,*&SURMHFWHGÀRXULPSRUWGHFUHDVHVLQ,UDTDQG
Syria, with imports now forecast at 2 million tonnes
(down 500,000 tonnes from the June projection) and
395,000 tonnes (down 100,000 tonnes), respectively.
³)RUERWKÀRXULVVWLOOH[SHFWHGWRDFFRXQWIRUDODUJH
share of all-wheat imports owning to local processing
constraints," the IGC said.
Afghanistan is projected to be the top importer of
ZKHDWÀRXULQDWPLOOLRQWRQQHVIROORZHG
by Iraq with 2 million tonnes.
Uzebekistan is ranked third at 900,000 tonnes, followed by Yemen at 800,000 tonnes, and Angola at
650,000 tonnes.
The biggest projected increases in terms of year-on-

62

year imports are Angola, with an increase of 173,000
tonnes, to 650,000 tonnes; China, with an increase of
154,000 tonnes, to 450,000 tonnes; and Afghanistan,
with an increase of 83,000 tonnes, to 2.5 million.
Yearly decreases of note are projected in Iraq, down
221,000 tonnes, to 2 million tonnes, and Syria, down
156,000 tonnes, to 395,000 tonnes.
The top exporter is once again projected to be Turkey
at 5.050 million tonnes. Although that number is broadly unchanged from the June report, it is forecast to be
up from 4.928 million in 2018-19. The IGC said Iraq
DQG6\ULDDUHVLJQL¿FDQWPDUNHWVIRU7XUNLVKÀRXUVR
WKHÀDWSURMHFWLRQDVVXPHVH[SRUWVZLOOEHUHGLUHFWHGWR
other countries.
"With Turkey potentially making inroads into other
destinations, export numbers are trimmed from last
time for the E.U., Canada and Argentina," the IGC said.
Kazakhstan is projected to be the No. 2 exporter
in 2019-20, although the IGC has revised downward
its export total to 2.5 million tonnes from 3 million
tonnes. It is also down from last year's total of 2.691
million tonnes.
"For exporters, the largest change from the last report
is for Kazkhstan, lowered by 500,000 tonnes because of
a reduced outlook for domestic supply," the IGC said.
November 2019 / World Grain / www.World-Grain.com

©Wolfgang Mücke - stockadobe.com

by Arvin Donley



http://www.World-Grain.com

World Grain - November 2019

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of World Grain - November 2019

World Grain - November 2019 - 1
World Grain - November 2019 - 1
World Grain - November 2019 - 2
World Grain - November 2019 - 3
World Grain - November 2019 - 4
World Grain - November 2019 - 5
World Grain - November 2019 - 6
World Grain - November 2019 - 7
World Grain - November 2019 - 8
World Grain - November 2019 - 9
World Grain - November 2019 - 10
World Grain - November 2019 - 11
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World Grain - November 2019 - 14
World Grain - November 2019 - 15
World Grain - November 2019 - 16
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World Grain - November 2019 - 18
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https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_02_01
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https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_11_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_10_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_09_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_08_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_07_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_06_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_05_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_04_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_03_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_02_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_01_01
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https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_10_01
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https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_05_01
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https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_02_01
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https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_12_01
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https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_07_01
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http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_06_01
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