World Grain - January 2022 - 20

COUNTRY FOCUS
China wheat production
(in 1,000 tonnes)
China soybean imports
(in 1,000 tonnes)
30,000
60,000
90,000
120,000
150,000
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
*Projected
ports were 4.2 million tonnes. Exports of rice are forecast
at 2.6 million tonnes, up from 2.3 million in 2021.
Among oilseeds, China's output of soybeans will come to
18.7 million tonnes in 2021-22, down from 19.6 million the
year before. The country is forecast to produce 14.5 million
tonnes of rapeseed, up from 14.1 million the prior year.
Soybean imports in 2021-22 are forecast at 98.5 million
tonnes, revised down from the October forecast of 100.3 million.
The previous year's imports were 95.3 million tonnes.
China's soybean exports are put at an unchanged 100,000
tonnes. Imports of rapeseed in 2021-22 are put at 2.1 million
tonnes, down from 2.8 million the year before.
In an annual report on the grains sector published on April
16, 2021, the USDA attaché highlighted the importance the
Chinese government puts on self-sufficiency in staple grains.
" On Feb. 21, 2021, the Chinese government released the
annual policy guidelines on agriculture and rural development
known as the No. 1 Document, " the report said. " There is increased
emphasis to shore up grain production of staple food
and vegetable crops, maintain targets for arable land utilization,
and additional efforts on maintaining and improving the
administration of the Minimum Support Price (MSP) program
policy for rice and wheat, along with improving the subsidy
policy and income stability for corn and soybean producers. "
The attaché forecast for 2021-22 that China " will continue
its effort to rebuild its swine herd in 2021 and that overall
pork production will remain below the pre-African swine fever
(ASF) levels of 2017. "
" Larger, newer swine facilities are increasing production
while contending with low sow productivity and high input
prices, " the report said. " These factors, along with other
diseases in breeding sows and piglets, will constrain significant
growth in China's hog inventory in 2021 and possibly
into 2022. "
China's industrial feed production increased 10.4% year20
over-year,
to 252.8 million tonnes in 2020, the report said. Pig
and poultry feed production accounted for 35.3% and 49.6%
of total feed production, respectively, compared with 33.5%
and 50.6% a year earlier.
With pig feed production becoming more commercialized,
output increased by 16.4% to 89.2 million tonnes, reaching
86% of the record high in 2018. At the same time, layer feed
production rose by 7.5%, broiler feed by 8.4%, and ruminant
feed by 18.9%.
Regarding corn, the attaché said " MARA's 2021 guidelines
and public statements from high-level officials set a target to
increase corn acreage by more than 667,000 hectares in key
growing areas. Additional corn acreage will need to come
from developing fallow and marginal land or loss to soy plantings.
" MARA's
latest guidelines urge planting grain on all unplanted
land as a priority. Any real production gains, however,
will be limited by competing policies that encourage soy production
and indications that increased planting will occur on
poor quality land and in areas not ideal for corn production. "
In an update published on Sept. 30, the attaché explained
that the wheat harvest in Henan finished at the end of June
before floods in July but added that " the disaster still caused
serious damage to stored wheat as well as processing and
transportation facilities. "
" There is no official estimate of damage, but flour factories
in these areas reported they had to shut down due to the floods
and some machines and equipment were damaged, " the attaché
said. " Wheat procured by large traders such as Sinograin
was reported safe in well-equipped silos. But approximately
30% to 50% of the total 2021-22 wheat harvest was stored by
farmers or small traders/stations. "
Flour milling, oilseeds and rice
More than 5,000 flour mills operate in China, including the
January 2022 / World Grain / World-Grain.com
2021-22*
2020-21
2019-20
2018-19
2017-18
2016-17
2015-16
2014-15
2021-22*
2020-21
2019-20
2018-19
2017-18
2016-17
2015-16
2014-15
Source: US Department of Agriculture's Foreign Agricultural Service
http://www.World-Grain.com
World Grain - January 2022

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