World Grain - September 2022 - 62

FEATURE: HAVE FERTILIZER PRICES PEAKED?
ing of some funds of Russian banks with the requirement
that the money is used toward the global trade of
food and fertilizers. The decision has been welcomed
by the Russian mineral fertilizer producers, who called
for European leaders to adopt concrete rules facilitating
the mineral fertilizers trade.
" We hope that an EU directive, resolution, authorization
or another document will be issued in the near
future that will guarantee banks, insurance companies,
shipping companies, and suppliers of technologies and
equipment for the mineral fertilizer industry in the EU
and third countries that their relations with Russian
fertilizer producers will not be looked at through the
prism of sanctions legislation, " Guryev said.
In addition, the US government reportedly is urging
agricultural and transport companies to buy and ship
more Russian fertilizer as fears of sanctions caused a
sharp drop in supplies, fueling a rise in global food
prices. Some European farmers called on their authorities
to establish clear rules for importing fertilizers
from the east.
Rules for purchasing fertilizers in Russia should
be the same for everyone, said Indulis Jansons, board
chairman of the Latvian agricultural company VAKS.
" The same rules must be observed all over the
world, " Jansons said. " It is wrong that the US, as well
as some European countries, allow the import of fertilizers
from Russia, but we remain firm in our position. "
Relief on the horizon?
The Russian Fertilizer Producers Association (RFPA)
expects the export issues to gradually wind down in
62
the second half of the year, securing price relief on the
global market. The RFPA estimates phosphate prices
will fall to $750 to $850 per tonne (from a high in April
of $1,047) while it forecasts the price of potash fertilizers
dropping to $560 per tonne (from a record high
of $875).
Khazanov forecasts that by the end of 2022, carbamide
could fall to $900 per tonne, DAP to $850 per
tonne, and potassium chloride to between $700 and
$750 per tonne.
BCS Global Markets expects fertilizer prices to
gradually decline in the second half of the year but remain
near historically high levels.
The current crisis in the mineral fertilizer market
also is expected to spark an interest in green fertilizers.
Norwegian chemical company Yara said it would produce,
starting next year, green fertilizers that will have
an 80% to 90% lower carbon footprint than the ones
made with natural gas.
It said production would be spread between Norway,
the Netherlands and Australia, with expectations to
produce 60,000 to 80,000 tonnes of fossil-free green
mineral fertilizer. This amount is unlikely to change the
market situation in Europe dramatically, but there are
chances that green fertilizers will start playing a more
important role on the continent in the future.
Vladislav Vorotnikov is a correspondent based in Batumi, Georgia.
He may be reached at Vorotnikov.vlsl@gmail.com
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World Grain - September 2022

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of World Grain - September 2022

World Grain - September 2022 - Intro
World Grain - September 2022 - 1
World Grain - September 2022 - 2
World Grain - September 2022 - 3
World Grain - September 2022 - 4
World Grain - September 2022 - 5
World Grain - September 2022 - 6
World Grain - September 2022 - 7
World Grain - September 2022 - 8
World Grain - September 2022 - 9
World Grain - September 2022 - 10
World Grain - September 2022 - 11
World Grain - September 2022 - 12
World Grain - September 2022 - 13
World Grain - September 2022 - 14
World Grain - September 2022 - 15
World Grain - September 2022 - 16
World Grain - September 2022 - 17
World Grain - September 2022 - 18
World Grain - September 2022 - 19
World Grain - September 2022 - 20
World Grain - September 2022 - 21
World Grain - September 2022 - 22
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World Grain - September 2022 - 24
World Grain - September 2022 - 25
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World Grain - September 2022 - 27
World Grain - September 2022 - 28
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World Grain - September 2022 - 33
World Grain - September 2022 - 34
World Grain - September 2022 - 35
World Grain - September 2022 - 36
World Grain - September 2022 - 37
World Grain - September 2022 - 38
World Grain - September 2022 - 39
World Grain - September 2022 - 40
World Grain - September 2022 - 41
World Grain - September 2022 - 42
World Grain - September 2022 - 43
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World Grain - September 2022 - 46
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World Grain - September 2022 - 50
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World Grain - September 2022 - 55
World Grain - September 2022 - 56
World Grain - September 2022 - 57
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World Grain - September 2022 - 72
World Grain - September 2022 - 73
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World Grain - September 2022 - 75
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World Grain - September 2022 - 91
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