World Grain Latin American - October 2012 - 12

ARTÍCULO: ¿BRASIL PUEDE LLENAR EL VACÍO DE EXPORTACIONES?

la economía internacional, Rabobank supone que las exportaciones de aves disminuirán durante los próximos cinco años, presentando un rango de crecimiento anual promedio cercano al 4%. Rabobank proyecta una creciente demanda de maíz proveniente del sector avícola de 3.3 millones de toneladas para 2015. CERDO Con un crecimiento promedio anual de 3.2 % durante los últimos cinco años, el sector porcino brasileño también ha mostrado un fuerte crecimiento que rebasa a la mayoría de otros países productores de cerdo. Rabobank proyecta que la demanda doméstica de cerdo crezca con una tasa anual del 2% a mediano plazo a medida que el ingreso de la clase media brasileña debe continuar aumentando. Con respecto a las exportaciones, Rabobank proyecta una tasa de crecimiento de 3% hasta el 2015.

Desglose de la demanda de maíz brasileño por uso, 2010-11
porcentaje 100 8 80 Semillas/pérdida 60 Humano Industrial Exportaciones 40 Animal 20 29 0
Tabla de Rabobank. Fuente Sindirações y Safras & Mercados, 2011

Aves Lácteos

Cerdo Res 2 7

Gallinas ponedoras Otros

19 4 8

70

50

“De este modo, las expectativas del consumo doméstico y las exportaciones nos llevan a proyectar un crecimiento para la oferta brasileña de cerdo del 2% anual durante los próximos años,” dijo Rabobank, agregando que el aumento

del consumo incremental de maíz será de 1.6 millones de toneladas hasta el 2015. RES Durante

los

próximos

años,

la

12
Para más información, vea la página 66.

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World Grain Latin American - October 2012

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of World Grain Latin American - October 2012

World Grain Latin American - October 2012 - 1
World Grain Latin American - October 2012 - 2
World Grain Latin American - October 2012 - 3
World Grain Latin American - October 2012 - 4
World Grain Latin American - October 2012 - 5
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