ILMA Compoundings - November/December 2020 - 19

Virtual Annual Meeting Wrapup Sponsored By

Adrian Krygsman, director of product registration for
Troy Corp., told attendees that the U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency's (EPA) " Isothiazolinones Draft Risk
Assessment " was published on May 15, and registrants could
submit final comments to the EPA until Nov. 10. " The EPA
then issues a preliminary interim risk document sometime
in late spring/summer of 2021, " Krygsman said, adding that
efforts to work with the EPA on the matter won't stop until
there is a final mitigation decision.
As part of the session, Andrew Jaques, executive director
of the Chlorinated Paraffins Industry Association, discussed
the current (modified) medium-chain chlorinated paraffins
(MCCP) testing program. " For the past few years, we've
been working to make modifications to the program, "
Jaques said. " The signature of this new testing program has
been the development of a new method to radiolabel CP
test materials using trillium and the analytical methods
needed to use tritiated test materials. "
Jaques also discussed the December 2019 UK substance
evaluation (SEV) report on MCCP, which involved an initial assessment, testing program, and completion of studies
and a final assessment. He explained that the SEV conclusions found a need for follow-up regulatory action at the EU
level, identification as SVHC and restrictions.
California's Office of Environmental Health Hazard
Assessment published " Cancer Inhalation Unit Risk Factors
for Cobalt and Cobalt Compounds: Notice of Adoption " on
Oct. 2. Julie Thomas, global director, environmental, health
and safety for Master Chemical Corp., told attendees said
there are potential implications for ILMA members and that
the Association will continue monitoring the issue.
Internal Combustion Engines Will Remain
Relevant as EV Adoption Grows
Passenger vehicle manufacturers are increasing the number
of EVs they produce. Still, the internal combustion engine
(ICE) remains relevant, and ICE innovations are a critical
part of the drive to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
" Despite the move to electrification, the last internal combustion engine will be with us for several decades, " said Joan
Evans, industry liaison manager Americas for Infineum,
which sponsored the session.
Even with a decline in ICE production, the parts replacement rate is about 4% a year, Evans said during the meeting.
She told attendees several factors could shape the future
adoption rates of EVs. These include new industry and
OEM specifications, cost competition, interest in sustainability and customer-base changes. She added that different
regional needs will drive different life cycles. " The pace
of change will be influenced by emissions targets, climate
change and sustainability, " Evans said, adding that no

matter what the future brings, she expects the industry to
adapt. " We are resilient. We're good at adapting and seizing
opportunities. "
What's more, lubricants are a key enabler for new ICE
technologies and EVs.
The Five Trends Shaping Our World
Increased urbanization, a growing global middle class,
unprecedented connectivity and the acceleration of technology will change the global competitive landscape for the
next 25 years and beyond, said Afshin Molavi, senior fellow,
Foreign Policy Institute at Johns Hopkins University SAID,
and co-director, emerge85 Lab.
In a session sponsored by Sea-Land Chemical Corp.,
Molavi told meeting attendees that 85% of the world lives
outside the " West. " Population forecasts predict 87% of the
world will live outside the West in a decade or so.
Simultaneously, urbanization is increasing, with the
number of urban dwellers growing by 1.5 million per week.
" This level of urbanization is new in global history, " he said,
adding that 55% of people live in an urban environment
today, and that will increase to 68% in 2050. Cities are
economic engines.
The global middle class is increasing and is expected to
include 5.3 billion people by 2030. " Almost 90% of the
next wave of global middle-class entrants will come from
Asia, " Molavi said, adding that by 2030, Asia will provide
two-thirds of the global middle class and provide 40% of
global consumption. " That will have a lot of implication on
what we produce and how we produce. "
Another disruption-proof trend is the smartphone, and
Molavi said he expects connectivity to continue to rise. He
also anticipates climate politics and carbon-neutral goals to
increase. " Green new deals are emerging across the world, "
he said.
However, Molavi expects that we'll still be living in a
fossil-fuel-driven world until 2040 or 2060. " Even if we go
to electric vehicles by 2030 or 2035, we still need fossil fuels
for all kinds of things, " he said.

Looking Ahead

ILMA is known as the best resource for those in the industry
to learn about trends, reconnect with colleagues and meet
new associates, and the 2020 Virtual Annual Meeting
provided that and more. While the virtual program was a
success, ILMA looks forward to resuming in-person meetings again soon. Please plan to join us for ILMA Engage,
June 23-25, in Carlsbad, California.
Long is a freelance writer and journalist. She can be reached at
925-750-7163 or mindy@mindylong.com.

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ILMA Compoundings - November/December 2020

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