World Grain - February 2008 - 38

FEATURE: BARLEY BARELY KEEPING UP

international expansion of brewers has
resulted in increased international trade
for both malting barley and malt, especially in these emerging markets.
Under average growing and harvesting conditions, the barley supply is sufficient to provide malting barley and
malt around the globe. But during the
past two years, growing conditions have
been well below average in the key production regions.
In 2006, the European crop was
plagued by an intensive drought during the growing season and a protracted
period of heavy rainfall during harvest.
As a result, the European crop produced
low yields and higher-than-desired protein levels.
Consequently, E.U. malting barley
production was only sufficient to meet
domestic demand. In a normal year,
the E.U. accounts for one-third of the
world's malting barley exports.

Climate-related poor yields were again
observed in Europe in 2007, and the
USDA projects a barley crop of 56 million tonnes in the E.U., higher than the
54-million-tonne crop in 2006 but well

million tonnes and 5.8 million tonnes,
respectively.
Although yields are not keeping pace
with increasing beer consumption, the
Rabobank study said the tight supply
situation could be remedied by broadening the number of barley varieties to increase yield. In Europe, for example, the
use of winter barley varieties in addition
to spring barley varieties would help
spread the risk caused by the fact that the
crop is being exposed during the growing season. But one of the drawbacks to
this solution is that breeding new varieties takes an average of 10 years.
The Rabobank study points out that
demand for global malt trade comes
mainly from international brewers that
require high quality malt, particularly
for the production of premium beers.
Often, their plants are not located close
to high quality malt supplies, creating a
need for more global trade.

Although acreage and production have fallen, demand
for malting barley in the
brewing industry continues to
grow. In 2006, the global beer
market expanded by 3% to
162 billion liters.

below the five-year average of 59 million tonnes from 2000-01 to 2004-05.
In 2006 and 2007, Australia's barley
crop was devastated by the longest period of drought in 100 years, resulting
in well-below average production of 3.8

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