World Grain - May 2008 - 20

COUNTRYFOCUS

India milled rice situation
(in 1,000 tonnes)
2000-01 2001-02
Production
84,980
93,340
Exports
1,685
6,300
Consumption 75,960
87,611

2002-03 2003-04
71,820
88,530
5,440
3,100
79,860
85,630

2004-05
83,130
4,569
80,861

2005-06
91,790
4,688
85,088

2006-07 2007-08*
93,350 94,000
5,500
3,000
86,940 90,430

2005-06
68,640
801
32
69,971

2006-07 2007-08*
69,350 75,810
200
50
6,708
2,000
73,358 75,850

India wheat situation
(in 1,000 tonnes)
Production
Exports
Imports
Consumption

2000-01 2001-02
76,369
69,680
1,569
3,087
441
32
66,821
65,125

2002-03 2003-04
71,810
65,100
4,850
5,650
34
8
74,294
68,258

2004-05
72,150
2,120
8
72,838

* Projected
Source: U.S. Department of Agriculture

the north of the country is reported to be
in good condition, but more precipitation is needed.
"Due to a 2.5% reduction in plantings,
to about 27.7 million hectares, the outturn is expected to fall to 74.5 million
tonnes," the IGC said. "Because of im-

proved yield prospects, this is 1 million
tonnes higher than previously forecast."
"Although potential exists to increase
wheat yields in most states, realizing that
potential is hampered by lack of irrigation,
poor seed replacement rate and low input
use," New Delhi, India-based U.S. Depart-

ment of Agriculture (USDA) Ag Specialist Ayyapasore Govindan said in the most
recent annual attaché report on the Grain
and Feed sector in India. "The existing
wheat varieties, released nearly a decade
ago, are showing signs of fatigue. Furthermore, wheat production has become
more vulnerable to changing climatic
conditions, characterized by an earlierthan-normal spurt in surface temperatures
coinciding with the grain filling stage."
The IGC put India's wheat consumption at 79 million tonnes in 2008-09,
compared with 74 million in 2007-08.
"India may again need to turn to imports
in order to keep closing stocks at desired
levels," the IGC said. "With production
prospects in India not quite as good as
last year and consumption continuing
to rise, import needs could be sharply
higher." Its prediction is 4.7 million
tonnes, up from 2 million.
"Although consumer expenditure sur-

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For more information, see Page 82.

20

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World Grain - May 2008

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