Morningstar Advisor - June/July 2013 - (Page 58)

Undiscovered Manager Waiting to Pull Up Anchor By Michael Brennan Small caps have reached the top of their cycle, manager Eric Cinnamond says. He’s hoarding cash for when the market turns. By at least one standard, it might be difficult to be Eric Cinnamond right now. The brains behind River Road Asset Management’s small-cap strategy, which fuels ASTON/River Road Independent Value ARIVX, spent the winter watching mostly from the sidelines as the Russell 2000 Value Index posted scorching returns. After it shot up 15.5% in 2012, the small-cap index swelled by more than 8% this year through April 22. Meanwhile, Independent Value, which accounts for $740 million of the $1 billion in 58 Morningstar Advisor June/July 2013 assets Cinnamond’s strategies manage (the remaining $260 million are in separate accounts), has not done much. It’s up 3% on the year and appears unlikely for a performance boost in the short term. Cinnamond has fled from the party by unloading many of his holdings and letting cash build up to a whopping 58% of his portfolio as of March 31. Given the recent disparity between Cinnamond’s performance and that of the Russell 2000 Value, how is it that he’s activated a soft close and is turning away would-be investors? He reached his $1 billion limit mostly by way of inflows rather than from performance; Independent Value and his separate accounts netted $660 million worth of inflows in 2011 and $224 million in 2012. It suggests that Cinnamond’s 15-year track record has earned him a good deal of trust among investors. Cinnamond says that his investment universe— the 300 small caps on his watchlist—has enjoyed a runup and is approaching what he believes is the peak of its performance cycle. A downturn, he believes, is approaching.

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Morningstar Advisor - June/July 2013

Morningstar Advisor - June/July 2013
Letter From the Editor
Not Your Values
How Do You Use Alternatives for Clients?
Working to Build a Niche
How to Put Buffett’s Investing Philosophy into Practice
Sophisticated Strategies for the Masses
Investments á la Carte
Investment Briefs
The Percentile Trap
Defense Firms Will Stay Aloft
Beware the Lure of Diversification
Using Alternatives in Practice
Managed Futures and Cash Rates
The World Is Getting Grayer
Waiting to Pull Up Anchor
The Price of Managing Volatility
Let’s Get Back to Basics
Our Favorite Mutual Funds
50 Most-Popular Equity ETFs
Undervalued Stocks With Wide Moats
Mutual Fund Urban Myths

Morningstar Advisor - June/July 2013